Climate change is having a profound impact on endurance sports, including marathons. A new study by Climate Central has found that rising temperatures are making it increasingly difficult for runners to break records in these events.
The research suggests that the ideal running conditions - with temperatures of 4C for men and 10C for women - will become less likely in 86% of global marathons by 2045. This is due to the fact that warmer weather is becoming more frequent, leading to dehydration risks and other challenges for athletes.
The study's findings have sparked concern among athletes and event organizers, with World Athletics president Sebastian Coe warning that endurance events like the marathon may need to be held separately from competitions at a different time of year in order to protect athletes from unsafe conditions.
"Ironically, it's not just about winning - it's about survival," said Mhairi Maclennan, the fastest British female finisher at last year's London Marathon. "We train day in, day out for years and manage every aspect of our lives to race our best, only for that elusive target to drift further away as ideal temperatures become rarer."
The men's marathon world record has already been reduced by two minutes 22 seconds over the past seven years, with improvement in times widely attributed to new shoe technology. However, Climate Central predicts that optimal running conditions will be less likely in Tokyo and other cities around the world.
"It's not just about records - it's about knowing that our performances could soon be out of reach if conditions keep getting hotter," said Catherine Ndereba, a former women's world record holder.
Ibrahim Hussein, who has won the New York and Boston Marathons, added: "The climate is part of the course now. If we don't protect it, the records of the future and the enjoyment for all become less and less likely."
As temperatures continue to rise, athletes and event organizers must adapt and innovate if they are to thrive in a changing environment.
The research suggests that the ideal running conditions - with temperatures of 4C for men and 10C for women - will become less likely in 86% of global marathons by 2045. This is due to the fact that warmer weather is becoming more frequent, leading to dehydration risks and other challenges for athletes.
The study's findings have sparked concern among athletes and event organizers, with World Athletics president Sebastian Coe warning that endurance events like the marathon may need to be held separately from competitions at a different time of year in order to protect athletes from unsafe conditions.
"Ironically, it's not just about winning - it's about survival," said Mhairi Maclennan, the fastest British female finisher at last year's London Marathon. "We train day in, day out for years and manage every aspect of our lives to race our best, only for that elusive target to drift further away as ideal temperatures become rarer."
The men's marathon world record has already been reduced by two minutes 22 seconds over the past seven years, with improvement in times widely attributed to new shoe technology. However, Climate Central predicts that optimal running conditions will be less likely in Tokyo and other cities around the world.
"It's not just about records - it's about knowing that our performances could soon be out of reach if conditions keep getting hotter," said Catherine Ndereba, a former women's world record holder.
Ibrahim Hussein, who has won the New York and Boston Marathons, added: "The climate is part of the course now. If we don't protect it, the records of the future and the enjoyment for all become less and less likely."
As temperatures continue to rise, athletes and event organizers must adapt and innovate if they are to thrive in a changing environment.