Bangladesh's economy, far from crumbling under its new interim administration, is instead undergoing a much-needed restructuring. The recent wave of pessimism about the state of the economy has been fueled by selectively framed commentary that paints an incomplete and often misleading picture.
To say that the current economic situation reflects an inevitable collapse would be misguided. Instead, the country's growth trajectory shows signs of stabilization after years of over-expansion, with macroeconomic imbalances being deliberately tightened to restore balance.
The alarming rise in nonperforming loans is a result of long-overdue commitment to honest accounting and exposing weaknesses that had been glossed over for years by previous regimes' pressure on regulators.
In contrast, the recent surge in foreign direct investment (FDI) of nearly 20 percent shows confidence in Bangladesh's long-term prospects. Global firms not only continued investing but also reinvested their earnings in a country emerging from a massive uprising that resulted in more than 1,400 deaths.
Bangladesh's economy today is characterized by record high foreign currency reserves and strengthening exchange rates, resulting from steady remittance flows, a crackdown on money laundering, and the return to a market-based exchange rate.
Inflation remains a potent concern but comparisons require nuance. Unlike Sri Lanka's drastic economic meltdown, Bangladesh's inflation reflects structural issues stemming from supply chain constraints, lingering market distortions, and aftereffects of earlier monetary expansion. It is neither destabilizing nor reflective of an impending collapse.
The key to Bangladesh's economic future lies in dismantling entrenched corruption, extortion networks, and bureaucratic bottlenecks that have acted as invisible taxes on the poor for years.
What stands out instead are a set of achievements rarely seen in a post-transition economy, including rapid rebound in reserves, record surge in remittances, nearly 20 percent growth in FDI, and unprecedented fiscal restraint.
These early foundations form one of Bangladesh's strongest macroeconomic buffers in years. Whether the country can sustain this transition depends on maintaining political will to continue reforms – especially in the banking sector.
To say that the current economic situation reflects an inevitable collapse would be misguided. Instead, the country's growth trajectory shows signs of stabilization after years of over-expansion, with macroeconomic imbalances being deliberately tightened to restore balance.
The alarming rise in nonperforming loans is a result of long-overdue commitment to honest accounting and exposing weaknesses that had been glossed over for years by previous regimes' pressure on regulators.
In contrast, the recent surge in foreign direct investment (FDI) of nearly 20 percent shows confidence in Bangladesh's long-term prospects. Global firms not only continued investing but also reinvested their earnings in a country emerging from a massive uprising that resulted in more than 1,400 deaths.
Bangladesh's economy today is characterized by record high foreign currency reserves and strengthening exchange rates, resulting from steady remittance flows, a crackdown on money laundering, and the return to a market-based exchange rate.
Inflation remains a potent concern but comparisons require nuance. Unlike Sri Lanka's drastic economic meltdown, Bangladesh's inflation reflects structural issues stemming from supply chain constraints, lingering market distortions, and aftereffects of earlier monetary expansion. It is neither destabilizing nor reflective of an impending collapse.
The key to Bangladesh's economic future lies in dismantling entrenched corruption, extortion networks, and bureaucratic bottlenecks that have acted as invisible taxes on the poor for years.
What stands out instead are a set of achievements rarely seen in a post-transition economy, including rapid rebound in reserves, record surge in remittances, nearly 20 percent growth in FDI, and unprecedented fiscal restraint.
These early foundations form one of Bangladesh's strongest macroeconomic buffers in years. Whether the country can sustain this transition depends on maintaining political will to continue reforms – especially in the banking sector.