China's bid for Taiwan domination has reached a fever pitch, with Beijing increasingly confident that the US will fail to stop it. The reason for this optimism lies in Donald Trump's weakness and vacillation as president.
A staggering display of ignorance and misjudgment has characterized China's approach to Taiwan over the years. From invading Afghanistan in 1979 to attempting to overthrow pro-Western governments in Hong Kong, Beijing has consistently shown a stunning lack of understanding about its adversaries' strengths and weaknesses. But it is particularly egregious in its attempt to assert dominance over Taiwan.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) claims Taiwan as part of its territory, but the reality on the ground is far from that. For decades, Taiwanese have enjoyed a high degree of autonomy, even if it means living under the shadow of China's growing military presence.
Beijing's strategy for taking control of Taiwan involves gradually squeezing the island through economic coercion and cyber warfare. This approach has proven effective in isolating Hong Kong and other territories, but its impact on Taiwan is less clear-cut.
Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te recently warned that Beijing's pressure on his government was "intensifying", with China using a range of tactics to undermine democracy and stability. However, it remains to be seen how effective these efforts will be in the long term.
Chinese leader Xi Jinping's approach is classic in its subtlety. Rather than resorting to military force, he aims to wear down Taiwan through a combination of economic pressure, cyber sabotage, and diplomatic isolation. The goal is to create an atmosphere of fear and uncertainty that ultimately forces Taiwanese to surrender without a fight.
However, this strategy carries significant risks. If China's efforts fail, Xi may be forced to resort to military action, which could have catastrophic consequences for both sides.
The situation has become increasingly tense in recent days, with Japan's prime minister Sanae Takaichi sparking outrage in Beijing by defending Taiwan and nearby trade routes from Chinese invasion. The response was swift and savage, with China imposing sanctions and boycotts on Japan.
But the incident highlights a deeper problem - that of ignorance and miscommunication between Beijing and its Western adversaries. Trump's own handling of the situation has reinforced these concerns, as he has consistently failed to provide clear and consistent support for Taiwan.
In contrast, Xi Jinping seems to be gaining the upper hand in this game of diplomatic poker. By playing on Trump's weaknesses and vacillations, he is able to drive a hard bargain that benefits China at the expense of its rivals.
As a result, Taiwanese officials are growing increasingly worried about the future of their democracy and way of life. History has shown time and again that compromising with aggression only leads to war and enslavement - but Trump's lack of understanding of this lesson is putting the entire region at risk.
A staggering display of ignorance and misjudgment has characterized China's approach to Taiwan over the years. From invading Afghanistan in 1979 to attempting to overthrow pro-Western governments in Hong Kong, Beijing has consistently shown a stunning lack of understanding about its adversaries' strengths and weaknesses. But it is particularly egregious in its attempt to assert dominance over Taiwan.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) claims Taiwan as part of its territory, but the reality on the ground is far from that. For decades, Taiwanese have enjoyed a high degree of autonomy, even if it means living under the shadow of China's growing military presence.
Beijing's strategy for taking control of Taiwan involves gradually squeezing the island through economic coercion and cyber warfare. This approach has proven effective in isolating Hong Kong and other territories, but its impact on Taiwan is less clear-cut.
Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te recently warned that Beijing's pressure on his government was "intensifying", with China using a range of tactics to undermine democracy and stability. However, it remains to be seen how effective these efforts will be in the long term.
Chinese leader Xi Jinping's approach is classic in its subtlety. Rather than resorting to military force, he aims to wear down Taiwan through a combination of economic pressure, cyber sabotage, and diplomatic isolation. The goal is to create an atmosphere of fear and uncertainty that ultimately forces Taiwanese to surrender without a fight.
However, this strategy carries significant risks. If China's efforts fail, Xi may be forced to resort to military action, which could have catastrophic consequences for both sides.
The situation has become increasingly tense in recent days, with Japan's prime minister Sanae Takaichi sparking outrage in Beijing by defending Taiwan and nearby trade routes from Chinese invasion. The response was swift and savage, with China imposing sanctions and boycotts on Japan.
But the incident highlights a deeper problem - that of ignorance and miscommunication between Beijing and its Western adversaries. Trump's own handling of the situation has reinforced these concerns, as he has consistently failed to provide clear and consistent support for Taiwan.
In contrast, Xi Jinping seems to be gaining the upper hand in this game of diplomatic poker. By playing on Trump's weaknesses and vacillations, he is able to drive a hard bargain that benefits China at the expense of its rivals.
As a result, Taiwanese officials are growing increasingly worried about the future of their democracy and way of life. History has shown time and again that compromising with aggression only leads to war and enslavement - but Trump's lack of understanding of this lesson is putting the entire region at risk.