Disapproval of Donald Trump now higher than his first term—Nate Silver

A majority of Americans now disapprove of Donald Trump more than they did at the same point in his first term, according to Nate Silver, a statistician and political analyst. According to Silver, who runs the website 538, an overwhelming 55.9% of people disapprove of the president, which is one percent higher than the proportion who disapproved of him at a similar moment towards the end of 2017.

Trump's net approval rating remains slightly better than his first term, but the overall trend remains negative. Several factors are contributing to this shift in public opinion, including Trump's handling of files related to disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein, as well as his economic policies, which have caused disquiet among Americans. The recent government shutdown has also eroded confidence in the administration.

Silver attributes the growing disapproval to a broader negative polling environment surrounding Trump, with 58% of people disapproving of him and only 39% approving. Even more concerning is the perception of the economy, with 76% of voters viewing it negatively - a far higher proportion than at the end of former President Joe Biden's presidency in 2024.

Trump himself has been critical of "fake polls" that he claims are biased against Democrats and left-wing supporters, but his own approval ratings reflect a concerning trend. Mark Shanahan, an American politics professor, notes that Trump's second term is no longer marked by novelty or unpredictability, but rather by stress and negative repercussions.

As the midterm elections approach in November 2026, Trump's popularity will likely continue to fluctuate. If current trends persist, they could potentially impact Republican control of Congress and the administration's ability to push through its agenda.
 
I'm seeing this dip in Trump's approval ratings is kinda interesting 🤔... I mean, you'd think that a guy who's been in office for four years would've had some sort of buffer by now 😊. But instead, we're seeing his disapproval rate go up and his approval rate stay kinda steady... it's like the tide is just not turning in his favor 🌊.

I'm also kinda surprised to see that people are getting more negative on the economy... I mean, I get it, there are still some folks out there who think things are gonna magically improve overnight 😒. But 76% of voters seeing it negatively? That's a pretty clear consensus 🤝. It'll be interesting to see how this plays out in the midterms and whether Trump's team can turn things around... or if they're just gonna keep playing catch-up 🏃‍♂️.
 
I'm not surprised 🤷‍♀️ to see most Americans are turnin' against him now... I mean, think about all the stuff he's been dealin' with lately, from Epstein to the shutdowns 🚫💸. It's like people are finally realizin' that maybe his approach isn't workin' out for everyone 🤔. And those economic numbers? Yikes, 76% sayin' it's bad is crazy high 📉! I'm not surprised Trump's approval ratings are still a bit higher than they were in the beginning of his first term, but like Mark said, that novelty and unpredictability thing is gone 😒. Now it's all about stress and negative repercussions... can't say I blame people for bein' turnin' on him 🤷‍♂️. This midterm election is gonna be interesting to watch, and if current trends keep goin', we might see some big changes in Congress 🗳️!
 
im so done with trump's toxic vibes 😒 it's like he's intentionally trying to create a toxic environment around him and his policies are just making things worse 🤦‍♂️ i mean, come on 76% of people disapproving the economy? that's not just sad it's downright scary 💔

i think trump's biggest mistake is that he's become so predictable now. back in 2017, people were already starting to get wary of him but they were still giving him a chance because he was new and all that jazz 🤷‍♂️ nowadays though? nope, everyone knows what to expect from him now - stress, drama, and a whole lot of negativity 😩

and can we talk about the economy for a sec? i mean, it's not like trump's policies are doing anyone any favors 💸 people are already feeling the pinch and it's only going to get worse if he keeps making the same old mistakes 🤦‍♂️
 
I'm telling ya, something fishy is going on here 🤔. All these polls are coming out saying more people disapprove of Trump than ever before? It sounds like a setup, if you ask me 😒. And now that he's talking about fake polls being biased against Democrats and left-wingers? Yeah, that's just a distraction from the real issue. What's really going on is that the government shutdown was meant to distract us from something else 🤫. I mean, who benefits from a 76% negative view of the economy? The powers that be do, that's who 💸. And don't even get me started on the midterms... it's like they're just trying to keep us guessing 😏.
 
I'm not surprised to see a majority of Americans disapproving of Donald Trump 😐. It's been a long time coming, especially with all the controversies surrounding him, like that Epstein thing... ugh 🤢. His economic policies have also done more harm than good for many people. The recent government shutdown was just the cherry on top.

I'm not sure what to make of his claims about "fake polls" though 🤔. I mean, come on, he's got a way with words... or is that just spin master mode activated? 😂 Either way, it's good to see people holding him accountable, even if it means disapproving of him.

The fact that the economy is viewed negatively by 76% of voters is super concerning 🤕. It's like, what were they expecting from Trump on that front again? 🤑 The midterm elections can't come soon enough, I hope it brings some change... but we all know how politics works 😒
 
I think it's pretty interesting that more people are disapproving of Donald Trump now than they were during his first term. I mean, we all knew he was a polarizing figure, but 55.9% not liking him is still crazy 🤯. I'm curious to know what's changing the public's opinion, though - is it just because people are getting more info about him? 📰

I also can't help but think that the economic stuff is playing a big role in this shift. I mean, who wants to support someone who thinks they can 'make America great again' if it means harming the economy? 💸 It's like, Trump says he's doing one thing, but it feels like another thing entirely.

I'm also kinda worried about what might happen during the midterms... If people keep disliking him that much, how will Republicans do? 🤔 Will they get more support or lose even more seats?
 
OMG u guys! 🤯 I'm literally shook about Donald Trumps ratings! 😂 55.9% disapprove? That's like, a huge chunk of Americans! 🤷‍♀️ And its not just that, his economy policies are giving ppl anxiety lol! 🤑 Like for real tho, this shift in public opinion is crazy! 🔄 According to Nate Silver, its all about how Trump handled Epstein and the shutdown. 😬 Stressful times indeed! But honestly can we talk about why people still got love for him? Like its like 39% approval? That's a small chunk of ppl who are still vibing with him 🤔 What's going on there?! 🤷‍♂️ Anyway, midterm elections in Nov 2026... watch out republicans! 👀
 
man i'm not surprised at all 🤯 ...trump's approval ratings have been on a downward trend for ages and it's just getting worse 😩 ...i think the epstein files thing is a huge contributor, it's gotta be super embarrassing for him personally 💔 ...and don't even get me started on his economic policies, it's like he's trying to make life harder for everyone 🤑 ...the government shutdown was a major disaster too, that showed us all how dysfunctional he can be 🤯 ...i'm glad more people are speaking out against him and holding him accountable 💪 ...but at the same time, i feel bad for americans who have to deal with this on a daily basis 😔 ...and let's not forget about the midterms in 2026, that's gonna be super interesting to watch 📊 ...i'm hoping trump's popularity will continue to tank so republicans can lose control of congress 🤞
 
🤔📈 So it seems like Trump's ratings are taking a hit 🚨, especially with all these scandals coming out about Epstein 😳. I mean, can't say I'm surprised – he's been super divisive from day one. The economy is also looking pretty sketchy right now 📉, and the shutdown didn't help matters.

I wonder if Trump will try to pivot or just double down on his current stance? 🤷‍♂️ Either way, it's gonna be interesting to see how this all plays out in the midterms. 👀 Mark Shanahan is right that Trump's second term isn't about surprise and unpredictability anymore – it's more stress and negative repercussions.

What's up with these "fake polls" though? 🤪 Can't blame people for being skeptical, but come on, we're not getting paid to lie 😒. Anyway, here's a simple flowchart of the situation:

```
+---------------+
| Polls say |
| Trump is bad |
+---------------+
|
|
v
+---------------+
| Trump gets |
| angry and |
| divisive |
+---------------+
|
|
v
+---------------+ +---------------+
| Ratings go | | Midterms |
| down the | | are coming |
| drainpipe | | |
+---------------+ +---------------+
```

📊
 
Man I'm like totally surprised by this news 🤯! A majority of Americans disapproving of Donald Trump is crazy! It's like people are finally catching on to what's been going on with him all these years...the Epstein thing, the economy, the shutdowns...it's like he's just getting worse and worse. And you know what's even crazier? The fact that most people are disapproving of his economic policies too 🤔. It's like they're finally seeing through all the hype and propaganda. I'm not surprised that Trump is trying to deny the polls, though...he's always been one to spin reality to fit his own agenda 😒. Mark Shanahan makes some really good points about how Trump's popularity has declined so much since he first took office. It's gonna be interesting to see how this all plays out with the midterm elections coming up in November 2026...maybe we'll finally get some real change 💪.
 
I THINK ITS WEIRD HOW TRUMP'S POPULARITY HAS CHANGED SO MUCH SINCE HE FIRST TOOK OFFICE!!! 🤯 IN 2017 HE WAS A TOTAL HOT BUTTON ISSUE AND PEOPLE LOVED HIM OR HATED HIM FOR IT, BUT NOW HE JUST SEEMS LIKE THE SAME OLD CONTROVERSY STUFF THAT GETS US TALKING!!! 💬 I GUESS YOU COULD SAY WE'VE JUST GOT TO KNOW HIM BETTER BY NOW, BUT AT THE END OF THE DAY ITS ALL ABOUT THE POLLS RIGHT?! 📊
 
omg is it really that bad for trump?? 🤯 i mean i knew he was a polarizing figure but 55.9% disapproving is crazy! i think his handling of epstein and economic policies are huge factors in this shift. and honestly the government shutdown has been a major turnoff for many americans. i'm surprised it's taken this long for public opinion to swing against him so hard 🤔

and yeah mark shanahan makes some valid points about trumps second term being all stress and negativity now. i don't think he was ever gonna be able to maintain that novelty and unpredictability thingy for that long 😂

anyway the midterms are going to be super interesting this year... will trump's approval ratings keep tanking? 🤞 only time will tell
 
I mean, can you believe it? 😩 The guy was already getting a bad rep, but now he's like a train wreck that nobody wants to look at 🚂💥. I think it's because people are finally catching on to the fact that his policies aren't really working out for them 💸📉. And yeah, that whole Epstein thing is super sketchy 🤔. I don't know about these "fake polls" though... like, can't a guy just trust the numbers? 🤷‍♂️ Anyway, it's gonna be interesting to see how this all plays out before the midterms in '26 ⏰. Maybe Trump will surprise us and turn things around, but I'm not holding my breath 😅
 
I'm not sure I agree with this stat... like, 55.9% disapproving of Trump sounds pretty high, right? I mean, what's the threshold for being an 'overwhelming majority'? Like, can't we just call it a majority and leave it at that? 🤔 And Silver thinks it's all about the Epstein files and economic policies... but isn't that a bit oversimplified? What about other factors like healthcare or education? Are they just not getting enough attention? 😐

And I'm still on the fence about Trump himself. Is his approval rating really in trouble? Or is he just getting better at spin? 🤷‍♂️ Mark Shanahan's point about stress and negative repercussions makes sense, but can't we expect more from our president? It feels like a lot of armchair analysis to me... or maybe I'm just not looking hard enough. 😊
 
🤔 I'm not surprised to see the numbers going against Trump, but it is interesting that even his own approval ratings are reflecting this shift in public opinion. 📊 He's always been a bit of a divider, but now he's starting to divide himself from the people he claims to represent. 🤷‍♂️ The economy has definitely taken a hit under him, and the shutdown was just another example of how things aren't working out for his team. 💸 I'm not sure what Trump is going to do at this point, but it's clear that he needs to change course if he wants to regain some of that lost ground. 🔄
 
🤔 I mean, it's kinda weird that people are disapprovin' of Trump more now than they did like 2 years ago... what's changin'? Wasn't he still doin' all those crazy tweets and whatnot? 📱 I guess some folks just get tired of him, or maybe his economic stuff isn't workin' out as well as he thought it would. Not sure about this government shutdown thing tho... did that really happen in '25? Anyway, I'm thinkin' it's good for the republicans if Trump's popularity drops, 'cause they might actually have to listen to some of that opposing party stuff and make some real changes 🤞
 
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