Europe is holding the line against Trump's and Putin's plans for Ukraine. But it won't be able to for ever | Martin Kettle

European Diplomacy on Life Support as US-Russia Talks Stumble Again

A week of fruitless peace talks between Donald Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff and Russian President Vladimir Putin has left the international community holding its breath, wondering what's next in a protracted conflict that refuses to yield. European diplomats have managed to stall US-Russia plans for Ukraine, but this fragile hold on the status quo is unlikely to last forever.

The pattern of standoffs on Ukraine during Trump's second term has been well-established, with each round of talks yielding little progress and tensions simmering just below the surface. The underlying dynamics driving the conflict remain unchanged – US interests pushing for a negotiated settlement that Russia won't accept, while Moscow seeks to exploit Ukraine's territorial vulnerabilities.

The sticking point remains Trump's refusal to provide military aid to Ukraine, which Putin views as a vital component of any potential deal. Instead, Washington is attempting a bilateral agreement with Moscow that would require Ukraine to cede significant territory to Russia. This approach has consistently fallen flat, with talks ending in disappointment and the war continuing unabated.

European diplomats, however, have been able to exert significant pressure on Trump's administration, forcing them to rebalance their approach. By mobilizing a "coalition of the willing" that includes most European nations plus Canada, these diplomats have successfully wounded US-Russia plans while falling short of shaping them.

Despite this success, Europe is unlikely to be able to hold the line indefinitely. The 21st-century imbalance of power is stacked against it, with Russia and the US possessing significantly greater military and economic might. Without a fully committed partner like the US, Europe will struggle to provide Ukraine with the support needed to resist Russian aggression.

The stakes are high, with Putin openly labeling Europe as Trump's "weak link" in any potential deal. This rhetoric is accompanied by a disturbing message – if Europe starts fighting on behalf of Ukraine, Russia will be ready to retaliate immediately.

While it's uncertain whether an effective Ukrainian government can continue to function without US backing, one thing is clear: the west's frozen Russian assets could play a crucial role in Kyiv's survival. The real question is what happens when Trump inevitably pulls the plug on US involvement – and how Europe responds to the resulting power vacuum.

As the situation continues to unfold, it's essential for European diplomats to acknowledge their limitations while continuing to push for a negotiated settlement that prioritizes Ukraine's sovereignty. The price of inaction could be catastrophic, with Russian troops marching down Whitehall and Kyiv's very existence hanging in the balance.
 
🤔 this whole situation is so stressful for ukraine its like they're stuck in limbo no one knows what's gonna happen next us russia or europe all wanna play a part but nobody's willing to make the hard decisions

i feel bad for steve witkoff he must be getting killed on the diplomatic circuit trying to get anything done with vladimir putin its like they're speaking different languages

the thing that worries me is if trump pulls out completely what happens next i mean russia's got some serious military might so europe's gonna have to step up but how can they do that without being seen as interfering in someone else's business?
 
OMG u guys its like super intense rn 🤯 europe is basically holding on by a thread trying to keep us russia talks from getting outta hand 💥 but honestly idk how long they can keep this up cuz russia is just too powerful 🤯 and putin is literally calling europa the "weak link" 😂 like what even is that kinda talk?? 🙄 anyway european diplomats are doing their best to mobilize a coalition of nations but its hard when u dont have a superpower like the us backing u up 💔 the wests frozen assets could be key tho 🤑 kyiv's future is literally hanging in the balance rn ⏰
 
🤔 This US-Russia stalemate is like watching a train wreck – you know it's gonna end badly, but you can't look away 🚂💥 Trump's lack of commitment to Ukraine is just gonna fuel Putin's fire 🔥. Europe needs to stop playing nice and take a firmer stance against Russia, even if it means getting its own hands dirty 💪. Can't keep relying on the US to bail them out when it's not coming 🤑
 
🤔 Can't believe how stuck Trump is on this whole Russia-Ukraine thing... like, come on dude, provide some military aid already! 🚫 And Europe's got to keep pushing for a deal that doesn't involve ceding land to Russia? 🌍️ That's just not cool. The fact that Putin's labeling Europe as Trump's "weak link" is kinda laughable - more like a weak excuse 😂.

Meanwhile, Ukraine's people are still dealing with the real consequences of war. How much longer can we keep stalling? We need to find a way to support Kyiv without putting all our eggs in one basket 🤝. And what about the frozen assets in Russia? That's some serious leverage right there 💸. Can't wait to see how this whole thing plays out... 🎭
 
This whole US-Russia talks thing is getting super old 🤯. Like, can't they just make up already? 🙄 It's all so predictable - they go back and forth on Ukraine, neither side willing to budge... meanwhile Europe is just trying to hold things together over here 🤝. I mean, we've got enough on our plate with climate change and whatnot, no need for this drama too 😩. And let's be real, Russia isn't exactly being super subtle about their intentions either 🙄. Putin calling Europe Trump's "weak link"? Like, dude, you're not even hiding it anymore 🤣. Anyway, can we just get a deal done already? The longer they drag this out, the more Ukraine is at risk 💔.
 
🤔 the fact that europe is relying on its collective might just to hold things together while america pulls back really highlights the importance of unity among nations when faced with a common threat 🌐 it's also a reminder that sometimes, even the best-laid plans can fall apart, and it's how we respond to those failures that truly matters 💪
 
omg u r right europe is literally holding on by a thread right now 🤯 i mean dont get me wrong eu diplomats are doin there best but its like russia & us r just not getting along and trump's all like "nah idk" meanwhile eu's gotta deal with the fallout 💸 european nations need to start thinkin about their own defense tho maybe invest in some heavy artillery 🚀 or somethin, cant let russia walk all over them 👊 btw what happens when trumps team pulls out? that would be a total game changer
 
I gotta say, this situation with Europe and Russia is like, super tense 🤯. I mean, Trump's envoy not being able to get anything done with Putin is just ridiculous. It's like, come on guys, you can't even negotiate a deal without stalling it for a whole week?

And the fact that European diplomats are trying to balance things out by mobilizing their own coalition of nations is cool, I guess. But let's be real, they're still playing catch-up with Russia and the US. The imbalance of power here is huge 💸.

I also don't get why everyone's making such a big deal about Putin calling Europe Trump's "weak link". Like, what's new? He's been saying stuff like that for years 😒. And honestly, I think the west should just focus on getting its act together and supporting Ukraine without relying so heavily on the US. Maybe if they did that, they wouldn't be in this situation.

And can we talk about Trump pulling out of Ukraine support when he inevitably does? That's like, the worst-case scenario 🚨. The whole thing is just super precarious. Europe needs to get its act together and figure out a way to keep Ukraine safe without relying on anyone else. Otherwise, they're just gonna be stuck in this mess forever 😩
 
This is getting outta hand 😩 Russia is just gonna keep pushing and waiting for Europe to cave, Putin knows exactly how to play on Trump's ego 🤣 and now that the talks have stalled again what's next? 🤔 We gotta think of Ukraine's future here, this isn't about geopolitics or power struggles, it's about people lives 💔 we can't keep just sitting back while Putin gets away with this aggression 😡
 
This is getting crazy 😱 I mean, can't US and Russia just talk it out already? It feels like they're stuck in some kind of perpetual diplomatic loop 🔄 European diplomats are doing their best to keep things from escalating, but with Trump's team and Putin not exactly seeing eye to eye... 🤔 I'm worried about Ukraine, though. They deserve our support and backing more than ever 💪 The thought of those frozen Russian assets being the difference between life and death for them is just heartbreaking 😭 We gotta stay vigilant and keep pushing for a peaceful resolution 👊
 
🤦‍♂️ come on, Europe's got this one kinda... sorta? I mean, they've managed to stop Trump from getting his way, but let's not get ahead of ourselves here – it's like trying to hold back a tidal wave with a broken reed 🌊. Putin's not going to take US backing lying down, and Europe's got its work cut out for it if it wants to keep Ukraine in the game.

I'm all for trying to negotiate a settlement, but can we please get some actual substance behind these talks? 'Coalition of the willing' sounds like something from an old Bond film 🕵️‍♂️. It's time for Europe to step up its game and show Putin that they're not just going to be Trump's doormat 😏.

And let's be real, what happens when Trump inevitably pulls out? Does anyone think Russia is just going to roll over and say 'oh okay, sorry about that' 🤷‍♂️? Newsflash: Russia isn't exactly known for its diplomatic finesse. Europe needs a solid plan in place before they get caught with their pants down 👖.

Anyway, fingers crossed (not really) that this whole thing doesn't end in catastrophe 🔥.
 
the us-russia talks are getting more and more stale by the day 🤯💥 21st century power imbalance is real, folks 📈 67% of global military spending goes to just 3 countries: usa, china, russia 📊 45% of global economic output comes from these same 3 nations 🌎 european diplomats are doing a great job stalling the talks, but they need more support 🤝 72% of ukrainians want to be part of europe, but trump's admin is still trying to force us-russia bilateral deal 🚫 that would leave ukraine with significant territory to give up 📉 if we don't get some momentum in the talks, russian troops could march into eastern europe anytime ⏰ 85% of russians support putting pressure on us to back ukrainian sovereignty 💪 so what's the holdup? 🤔
 
🤔 Europe is totally getting played here. US is all about stalling, Russia knows it and they're just waiting for Trump to bail. Meanwhile EU is trying to keep Ukraine afloat but they can't do it alone 🌟. What's with this "coalition of the willing" nonsense? It's like they think EU countries are just going to magically start dropping bombs on Russia or something 😂. Newsflash: Russia has got way more power and influence now than we ever did back in the Cold War era 💥. We need a unified front, stat! But I guess that's easier said than done 🤦‍♂️...
 
OMG, this situation is soooo stressful 🤯! Europe can't keep relying on US diplomacy to stall Russia, they need to take matters into their own hands 💪. I mean, what if Trump pulls the plug on Ukraine? What then? 😬 Russia would be like "oh look, you're weak and alone" 😏. We need to wake up and recognize our own strength 🌟. European diplomats are doing a great job so far, but they can't keep waiting for others to take action 🕰️. It's time for some real leadership 💼!
 
im so worried about ukraine 🤕 i dont think europe can hold on forever its like theyre playing whack a mole with russia and it never ends lol trump is just making things worse by not providing military aid to ukraine, like what kind of president does that? 🙄 the fact that putin is saying europe is his "weak link" in any deal is so concerning, i mean we cant even control our own governments sometimes 🤦‍♀️
 
I'm getting super worried about this whole US-Russia thing 🤯, you know? It feels like we're stuck in a never-ending loop of stalemates and stale negotiations. I get that Europe's got some leverage now, but I think it's gonna be tough to keep the pressure on for long. Russia's just too powerful, and Putin's not afraid to throw shade at anyone who gets in his way 😒.

And can we talk about Ukraine? They're caught in this awful limbo, with no clear direction or support from either side. It's like they're on their own out there, trying to survive against all odds 💔. I hope the EU can find a way to keep them safe without having to go full-on war, but at the same time, they need to make sure Ukraine knows they've got its back.

I think we need to take a step back and reevaluate what's really going on here 🤔. What are our priorities? How do we balance competing interests with the risk of all-out war? It's not an easy question, but someone's gotta ask it 💡. We can't just sit around waiting for things to get worse – we need to take action and try to find a way forward that works for everyone 🤝.
 
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