The 30th UN climate conference, Cop30, has ended in a mixed bag, with some progress made on key issues but significant obstacles still in place. The sticking point for negotiations was fossil fuels, which science has long told us are a major contributor to the climate crisis.
Despite decades of annual climate meetings, the need for phasing out fossil fuels has been mentioned only once before – at Cop28 in Dubai two years ago. However, a growing number of countries were determined that progress on this issue was urgently necessary, and they came up with a plan that gathered more support over time.
Developing countries desperately wanted to move forward on securing the money needed to help them cope with extreme weather impacts. In contrast, fossil fuel giants had long been resisting any meaningful action on climate change.
However, in the end, a deal was reached, albeit one that many see as inadequate. The world took another small step towards phasing out fossil fuels, but this faltering step will barely interrupt the climate's steady march towards catastrophe.
The Belém political package included an oblique commitment to "transition away from fossil fuels," which is largely a voluntary initiative led by Brazil and will report back next year. Addressing the cuts in greenhouse gas emissions needed to stay within the 1.5C limit was put off until next year, and developing countries secured a tripling of $120bn in annual finance.
However, critical minerals – essential for renewable energy components but whose extraction has been dogged by human rights abuses – were excised from the text at the behest of China and Russia.
Many experts, including Mohamed Adow and Louise Hutchins, argue that Cop30 failed to rise to the occasion. The deal might have been all that was possible, given the geopolitical headwinds, including a US president wedded to oil and coal, rising right-wing populism, conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, intolerable levels of inequality, and global economic uncertainty.
António Guterres, the UN secretary general, described Cop30 as "not delivering everything that is needed." The gap between where we are and what science demands remains dangerously wide.
If the world is to avoid the worst ravages of climate breakdown, the UN climate talks alone will not be nearly enough. A roadmap to phase out fossil fuels – a voluntary initiative led by Brazil – was included in the text, but it's unclear whether this will make a significant difference.
Developing countries secured a tripling of $120bn in annual finance, but that sum won't be delivered in full until 2035. Workers will benefit from a "just transition mechanism," but commitments to include critical minerals were excised.
As the world teeters on the brink of climate "tipping points" that could destroy ecosystems and plunge whole regions into chaos, it's clear that more needs to be done. Al Gore pointed out that just as we've passed peak Trump, he believes we've also passed peak petrostate – they may be able to veto diplomatic action, but they can't veto real-world action.
While nations were able to applaud the gavelling through of the deal, Cop30 revealed deep fissures in the global process for tackling the climate crisis. The conference showed that consensus is ever harder to reach when geopolitics divides us.
The world needs a more ambitious approach to address the climate crisis. We can't rely on incremental progress; we need radical action to transform our economies and societies.
Despite decades of annual climate meetings, the need for phasing out fossil fuels has been mentioned only once before – at Cop28 in Dubai two years ago. However, a growing number of countries were determined that progress on this issue was urgently necessary, and they came up with a plan that gathered more support over time.
Developing countries desperately wanted to move forward on securing the money needed to help them cope with extreme weather impacts. In contrast, fossil fuel giants had long been resisting any meaningful action on climate change.
However, in the end, a deal was reached, albeit one that many see as inadequate. The world took another small step towards phasing out fossil fuels, but this faltering step will barely interrupt the climate's steady march towards catastrophe.
The Belém political package included an oblique commitment to "transition away from fossil fuels," which is largely a voluntary initiative led by Brazil and will report back next year. Addressing the cuts in greenhouse gas emissions needed to stay within the 1.5C limit was put off until next year, and developing countries secured a tripling of $120bn in annual finance.
However, critical minerals – essential for renewable energy components but whose extraction has been dogged by human rights abuses – were excised from the text at the behest of China and Russia.
Many experts, including Mohamed Adow and Louise Hutchins, argue that Cop30 failed to rise to the occasion. The deal might have been all that was possible, given the geopolitical headwinds, including a US president wedded to oil and coal, rising right-wing populism, conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, intolerable levels of inequality, and global economic uncertainty.
António Guterres, the UN secretary general, described Cop30 as "not delivering everything that is needed." The gap between where we are and what science demands remains dangerously wide.
If the world is to avoid the worst ravages of climate breakdown, the UN climate talks alone will not be nearly enough. A roadmap to phase out fossil fuels – a voluntary initiative led by Brazil – was included in the text, but it's unclear whether this will make a significant difference.
Developing countries secured a tripling of $120bn in annual finance, but that sum won't be delivered in full until 2035. Workers will benefit from a "just transition mechanism," but commitments to include critical minerals were excised.
As the world teeters on the brink of climate "tipping points" that could destroy ecosystems and plunge whole regions into chaos, it's clear that more needs to be done. Al Gore pointed out that just as we've passed peak Trump, he believes we've also passed peak petrostate – they may be able to veto diplomatic action, but they can't veto real-world action.
While nations were able to applaud the gavelling through of the deal, Cop30 revealed deep fissures in the global process for tackling the climate crisis. The conference showed that consensus is ever harder to reach when geopolitics divides us.
The world needs a more ambitious approach to address the climate crisis. We can't rely on incremental progress; we need radical action to transform our economies and societies.