Oil-producing nations within the OPEC+ alliance have announced a surprise reduction in oil production, which is expected to send US gas prices soaring in the coming months. The move, effective from May to December, will result in a daily cut of over 1.6 million barrels, sparking fears that inflation may soon re-emerge as a major issue.
The news has already had an immediate impact on energy markets, with oil futures surging by around 6% and gasoline prices increasing by about 8 cents per gallon. Industry experts predict that this will be passed on to US consumers, driving up the national average gas price to potentially reach $3.80 to $3.90 per gallon in the short term.
Energy analyst Tom Kloza warns that the White House is likely to be "shocked and major-time pissed" by this development, as it alters the economic calculus for a while. According to Kloza, US drivers could see prices return above year-earlier levels, especially if production disruptions along the Gulf Coast worsen due to natural disasters.
The current average gas price of $3.51 is only slightly below the record-high level of $3.53 on February 23, 2022, just before Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent energy markets reeling. Kloza attributes this difference to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve releasing more oil and an increase in domestic production and refining capacity.
However, the prospect of OPEC+ cutting oil production by such a significant amount has left many experts concerned that prices will struggle to recoup this loss. Kloza notes that the US plans additional releases from the SPR and its own oil production and refining capacity are up, but these measures may not be enough to offset the impact of the reduced oil supply.
As a result, gas prices may soon take a sharp turn upwards, forcing policymakers and consumers alike to confront the reality of inflation re-emerging as a major economic concern.
The news has already had an immediate impact on energy markets, with oil futures surging by around 6% and gasoline prices increasing by about 8 cents per gallon. Industry experts predict that this will be passed on to US consumers, driving up the national average gas price to potentially reach $3.80 to $3.90 per gallon in the short term.
Energy analyst Tom Kloza warns that the White House is likely to be "shocked and major-time pissed" by this development, as it alters the economic calculus for a while. According to Kloza, US drivers could see prices return above year-earlier levels, especially if production disruptions along the Gulf Coast worsen due to natural disasters.
The current average gas price of $3.51 is only slightly below the record-high level of $3.53 on February 23, 2022, just before Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent energy markets reeling. Kloza attributes this difference to the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve releasing more oil and an increase in domestic production and refining capacity.
However, the prospect of OPEC+ cutting oil production by such a significant amount has left many experts concerned that prices will struggle to recoup this loss. Kloza notes that the US plans additional releases from the SPR and its own oil production and refining capacity are up, but these measures may not be enough to offset the impact of the reduced oil supply.
As a result, gas prices may soon take a sharp turn upwards, forcing policymakers and consumers alike to confront the reality of inflation re-emerging as a major economic concern.