Russia appears to be employing creative strategies to circumvent US sanctions aimed at disrupting its lucrative oil exports to India, a move seen as a significant blow to Washington's efforts to coerce New Delhi into cutting ties with Moscow.
The US has imposed severe penalties on India over its continued imports of discounted Russian crude oil since the start of the Ukraine war, sparking tensions between the two nations. The sanctions have already shown some impact, reducing Indian oil imports from Russia by about a third as of December. However, industry experts warn that these sanctions are unlikely to stem the tide of cheap Russian oil in the long term.
According to analysts at Kpler and Sparta Commodities, India's seven major refineries continue to rely heavily on imported Russian crude, with only Reliance, the country's largest private oil company, having abandoned its purchases due to EU sanctions. The discounted price of Russian oil makes it an attractive option for Indian refineries, which can save up to $4 billion annually by buying it.
In a notable move, Russia has begun to establish new oil exporters, bypassing the sanctioned giants Rosneft and Lukoil to maintain supply chains with countries like India. These new players are already making a significant impact on global exports, according to industry experts, who predict that it will take only two or three months for the full supply chain to be reorganized.
Meanwhile, Reliance is exploring alternative sources of oil due to EU sanctions and US pressure. However, analysts see an opportunity in Venezuela, where India had previously exported oil before sanctions were imposed. With the Trump administration's recent actions in Venezuela, including the capture of NicolΓ‘s Maduro, Indian companies may soon have access to cheap, sanctioned oil from the South American nation.
As tensions between Washington and New Delhi continue, it remains to be seen whether Russia will successfully evade US sanctions to maintain its grip on India's energy market. The current situation highlights the challenges faced by policymakers in regulating global trade and energy markets, where complex webs of supply chains and economic incentives can often lead to unintended consequences.
The US has imposed severe penalties on India over its continued imports of discounted Russian crude oil since the start of the Ukraine war, sparking tensions between the two nations. The sanctions have already shown some impact, reducing Indian oil imports from Russia by about a third as of December. However, industry experts warn that these sanctions are unlikely to stem the tide of cheap Russian oil in the long term.
According to analysts at Kpler and Sparta Commodities, India's seven major refineries continue to rely heavily on imported Russian crude, with only Reliance, the country's largest private oil company, having abandoned its purchases due to EU sanctions. The discounted price of Russian oil makes it an attractive option for Indian refineries, which can save up to $4 billion annually by buying it.
In a notable move, Russia has begun to establish new oil exporters, bypassing the sanctioned giants Rosneft and Lukoil to maintain supply chains with countries like India. These new players are already making a significant impact on global exports, according to industry experts, who predict that it will take only two or three months for the full supply chain to be reorganized.
Meanwhile, Reliance is exploring alternative sources of oil due to EU sanctions and US pressure. However, analysts see an opportunity in Venezuela, where India had previously exported oil before sanctions were imposed. With the Trump administration's recent actions in Venezuela, including the capture of NicolΓ‘s Maduro, Indian companies may soon have access to cheap, sanctioned oil from the South American nation.
As tensions between Washington and New Delhi continue, it remains to be seen whether Russia will successfully evade US sanctions to maintain its grip on India's energy market. The current situation highlights the challenges faced by policymakers in regulating global trade and energy markets, where complex webs of supply chains and economic incentives can often lead to unintended consequences.