The United States is bracing for one of its most extreme winter storms in years, with cold air from the Arctic expected to blanket nearly two-thirds of the country. Temperatures are set to plummet into negative territory, posing a "life-threatening risk of hypothermia and frostbite" as wind chill values drop. This isn't just an issue for forecasters; it's also a matter of public safety.
Unlike heatwaves, which often provide longer periods of warning time, cold snaps can catch people off guard due to their unpredictability. Forecasting is even more challenging when the weather shifts suddenly from milder conditions to extreme cold, leaving little time to prepare.
New forecasting methods are helping improve predictions for future winter storms, but they face challenges in keeping pace with rapidly changing global temperatures and other environmental factors that contribute to extreme weather events. The US government's deliberate cuts to its scientific research budget have also limited the data needed to create more accurate forecasts.
A team of researchers at MIT found that even years after a period of intense cold weather, signs can be detected in distant regions like Eurasia and parts of the Arctic. While this suggests that climate change plays some role in increasing extreme weather, its impact remains unclear.
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts held a competition to develop more accurate models, which remain among the toughest challenges for forecasters. As the planet warms overall, winter temperatures are rising faster than summer months, but periods of intense cold will continue โ and that is an area where scientists are still working to understand how human activity contributes.
In this case, it's unclear just what role climate change plays in bringing these extreme cold snaps; some researchers believe global warming has actually led to fewer extremely cold temperatures. The impact of warmer Arctic temperatures on winter storms remains a contentious topic among scientists.
Unlike heatwaves, which often provide longer periods of warning time, cold snaps can catch people off guard due to their unpredictability. Forecasting is even more challenging when the weather shifts suddenly from milder conditions to extreme cold, leaving little time to prepare.
New forecasting methods are helping improve predictions for future winter storms, but they face challenges in keeping pace with rapidly changing global temperatures and other environmental factors that contribute to extreme weather events. The US government's deliberate cuts to its scientific research budget have also limited the data needed to create more accurate forecasts.
A team of researchers at MIT found that even years after a period of intense cold weather, signs can be detected in distant regions like Eurasia and parts of the Arctic. While this suggests that climate change plays some role in increasing extreme weather, its impact remains unclear.
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts held a competition to develop more accurate models, which remain among the toughest challenges for forecasters. As the planet warms overall, winter temperatures are rising faster than summer months, but periods of intense cold will continue โ and that is an area where scientists are still working to understand how human activity contributes.
In this case, it's unclear just what role climate change plays in bringing these extreme cold snaps; some researchers believe global warming has actually led to fewer extremely cold temperatures. The impact of warmer Arctic temperatures on winter storms remains a contentious topic among scientists.