The 2023 UN Climate Change Conference (COP30) in Belém, Brazil, wrapped up with dozens of agreements but fell short on several key issues, including limiting global heating to 1.5°C and increasing climate finance for vulnerable countries.
A major threat to progress was the US withdrawal from the conference, with President Donald Trump launching a summit in Washington alongside Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. This move emboldened Riyadh to stifle any mention of fossil fuels, despite language on this being agreed at COP28 in Dubai.
Another obstacle was Brazil itself, whose split between environmental and economic interests led to conflicting messages from the government. While President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's team pushed for a roadmap away from fossil fuels and deforestation, his foreign ministry remained hesitant and needed prompting from the president himself.
European countries faced criticism for their parsimonious approach to climate finance, with some even delaying the implementation of their updated nationally determined contribution (NDC) plans. This lack of coordination led to suspicions that these policies were merely bargaining chips to delay action on adaptation finance.
Global conflicts also took a toll on the conference, with governments prioritizing military spending over climate aid and media attention shifting away from climate issues altogether. Notably, none of the four major US news networks sent a team to Belém, highlighting the public's growing disconnection from climate talks.
Perhaps most concerning was the rusty, cranky approach to global decision-making, where consensus decision-making leaves any country with a veto power that is increasingly inadequate in light of humanity's existential threat. This is evident in the repeated frustration among small island states and high-ambition nations, which led to the issuance of their own declaration and plans for phasing out fossil fuels.
The future of climate progress hangs in the balance as countries face mounting pressure from science, demographics, and economic trends that are shifting power towards the global south. If left unaddressed, these issues could spell doom for the Paris agreement, which is already struggling to meet its goals.
A major threat to progress was the US withdrawal from the conference, with President Donald Trump launching a summit in Washington alongside Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. This move emboldened Riyadh to stifle any mention of fossil fuels, despite language on this being agreed at COP28 in Dubai.
Another obstacle was Brazil itself, whose split between environmental and economic interests led to conflicting messages from the government. While President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's team pushed for a roadmap away from fossil fuels and deforestation, his foreign ministry remained hesitant and needed prompting from the president himself.
European countries faced criticism for their parsimonious approach to climate finance, with some even delaying the implementation of their updated nationally determined contribution (NDC) plans. This lack of coordination led to suspicions that these policies were merely bargaining chips to delay action on adaptation finance.
Global conflicts also took a toll on the conference, with governments prioritizing military spending over climate aid and media attention shifting away from climate issues altogether. Notably, none of the four major US news networks sent a team to Belém, highlighting the public's growing disconnection from climate talks.
Perhaps most concerning was the rusty, cranky approach to global decision-making, where consensus decision-making leaves any country with a veto power that is increasingly inadequate in light of humanity's existential threat. This is evident in the repeated frustration among small island states and high-ambition nations, which led to the issuance of their own declaration and plans for phasing out fossil fuels.
The future of climate progress hangs in the balance as countries face mounting pressure from science, demographics, and economic trends that are shifting power towards the global south. If left unaddressed, these issues could spell doom for the Paris agreement, which is already struggling to meet its goals.