Donald Trump’s Christmas gift to Vladimir Putin - a peace plan that reads like a Kremlin script - may finally be dead, but the fact that it was ever conceived is a stark reminder of the failure of US diplomacy in Ukraine. The 28-point peace plan unveiled by Trump last week has been met with fierce resistance from Ukrainian negotiators who are trying to "rework" the document into one more favorable to their country.
The original plan, negotiated by Putin's confidant Kirill Dmitriev and US negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner - who have no experience in Ukraine but were handpicked by Trump - is a far cry from what Ukraine needs. The plan requires Ukraine to cap its armed forces at 600,000, while Russia faces no comparable constraints. It also demands that Ukraine amend its constitution to drop its commitment to joining NATO, despite Putin's long-standing concerns about the alliance.
But perhaps the most egregious aspect of the plan is its recognition of Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk as de facto Russian territories, granting Putin control over parts of Donetsk he hasn't even captured. The plan also freezes battle lines, allowing Russia to retain territory seized in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, and grants Russia full immunity from prosecution for war crimes.
The fact that the US secretary of state, Marco Rubio, has been largely absent from these negotiations only adds to the sense of betrayal. It is a stark contrast to the involvement of European countries, which have stepped up support for Ukraine despite its disadvantages in the conflict.
But it's not all doom and gloom. Reports suggest that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has been holding talks with Andriy Yermak, his closest adviser, to rework the plan based on Ukraine's reactions - although Rubio has denied this. Trump accused Ukraine of ingratitude but added that the plan was "not my final offer" and that his deadline could be extended.
The fact that the plan didn't fly is a welcome development for Ukraine, and a significant blow to Putin's ambitions. It's also a reminder that the US should not have been so quick to abandon its ally in this time of need. Despite Trump's claims that some commentators argue the war in Ukraine is futile, it's clear that the international community needs to continue to stand by Ukraine until a just and lasting peace can be achieved.
The fact remains that Russia has suffered significant losses in the conflict - over 1 million casualties, nearly 150,000 confirmed dead, and more than 23,000 pieces of equipment destroyed or damaged. Ukrainian deep strikes on Russian refineries have also caused fuel shortages, long lines at petrol stations, panic buying, higher prices, rationing and a cut in refining capacity by up to a fifth.
In the end, it's clear that Trump's peace plan was always a bad idea, and its failure is a welcome development. But as the conflict drags on into its third year, there's no room for complacency or celebration. The international community needs to continue to work towards a just and lasting peace in Ukraine, one that recognizes the sovereignty of the Ukrainian people and rejects Russia's claims of dominance.
The original plan, negotiated by Putin's confidant Kirill Dmitriev and US negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner - who have no experience in Ukraine but were handpicked by Trump - is a far cry from what Ukraine needs. The plan requires Ukraine to cap its armed forces at 600,000, while Russia faces no comparable constraints. It also demands that Ukraine amend its constitution to drop its commitment to joining NATO, despite Putin's long-standing concerns about the alliance.
But perhaps the most egregious aspect of the plan is its recognition of Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk as de facto Russian territories, granting Putin control over parts of Donetsk he hasn't even captured. The plan also freezes battle lines, allowing Russia to retain territory seized in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, and grants Russia full immunity from prosecution for war crimes.
The fact that the US secretary of state, Marco Rubio, has been largely absent from these negotiations only adds to the sense of betrayal. It is a stark contrast to the involvement of European countries, which have stepped up support for Ukraine despite its disadvantages in the conflict.
But it's not all doom and gloom. Reports suggest that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has been holding talks with Andriy Yermak, his closest adviser, to rework the plan based on Ukraine's reactions - although Rubio has denied this. Trump accused Ukraine of ingratitude but added that the plan was "not my final offer" and that his deadline could be extended.
The fact that the plan didn't fly is a welcome development for Ukraine, and a significant blow to Putin's ambitions. It's also a reminder that the US should not have been so quick to abandon its ally in this time of need. Despite Trump's claims that some commentators argue the war in Ukraine is futile, it's clear that the international community needs to continue to stand by Ukraine until a just and lasting peace can be achieved.
The fact remains that Russia has suffered significant losses in the conflict - over 1 million casualties, nearly 150,000 confirmed dead, and more than 23,000 pieces of equipment destroyed or damaged. Ukrainian deep strikes on Russian refineries have also caused fuel shortages, long lines at petrol stations, panic buying, higher prices, rationing and a cut in refining capacity by up to a fifth.
In the end, it's clear that Trump's peace plan was always a bad idea, and its failure is a welcome development. But as the conflict drags on into its third year, there's no room for complacency or celebration. The international community needs to continue to work towards a just and lasting peace in Ukraine, one that recognizes the sovereignty of the Ukrainian people and rejects Russia's claims of dominance.