Researchers explore ambitious plan to deflect sun's rays from Earth. While some say it's too risky, others see potential benefits. Here's a closer look.
The world is heating up fast, with 2024 marking the first full year over 1.5C hotter than the 19th-century average. To avoid catastrophic damage, scientists are looking for ways to reduce warming - a top priority remains cutting emissions, but scaling up carbon removal may not be enough. That's where an unconventional plan comes in: deflecting a small fraction of incoming sunlight to reduce warming.
The concept isn't new, with US President Lyndon B Johnson's science advisers proposing it as the only way to cool the planet back in 1965. It's worth noting that our atmosphere already reflects about 30% of incoming sunlight; raising this fraction could strengthen Earth's natural heat shield.
But how? In 1991, Mount Pinatubo erupted and sent sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, cooling the planet by about 0.5C. This event inspired the idea of stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI). Models suggest SAI could offset 1C of warming with about 12m tonnes of SOโ per year - a significant cooling effect.
However, critics say that SAI is not a substitute for cutting emissions and could have catastrophic consequences if deployed without proper governance. "We disagree," argue the researchers. Careful research, not reckless proposals, can clarify whether SAI could ever be used safely and effectively.
To achieve this, scientists propose a structured research programme - similar to clinical trials in medicine. This would involve:
Phase one: Releasing tiny amounts of SOโ into the stratosphere, carefully measuring its evolution using instruments such as aircraft, ground-based and satellite.
Phase two: Scaling up the experiment to 10 or 100 times larger, studying how aerosols mix and distribute, and observing their impact on the environment.
Phase three: Small, deliberate cooling over several years under constant observation and strict oversight - if deemed safe, this could be a key step towards deployment.
To make such a future decision possible, researchers emphasize building tools, rules, and governance mechanisms now, not later.
The world is heating up fast, with 2024 marking the first full year over 1.5C hotter than the 19th-century average. To avoid catastrophic damage, scientists are looking for ways to reduce warming - a top priority remains cutting emissions, but scaling up carbon removal may not be enough. That's where an unconventional plan comes in: deflecting a small fraction of incoming sunlight to reduce warming.
The concept isn't new, with US President Lyndon B Johnson's science advisers proposing it as the only way to cool the planet back in 1965. It's worth noting that our atmosphere already reflects about 30% of incoming sunlight; raising this fraction could strengthen Earth's natural heat shield.
But how? In 1991, Mount Pinatubo erupted and sent sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, cooling the planet by about 0.5C. This event inspired the idea of stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI). Models suggest SAI could offset 1C of warming with about 12m tonnes of SOโ per year - a significant cooling effect.
However, critics say that SAI is not a substitute for cutting emissions and could have catastrophic consequences if deployed without proper governance. "We disagree," argue the researchers. Careful research, not reckless proposals, can clarify whether SAI could ever be used safely and effectively.
To achieve this, scientists propose a structured research programme - similar to clinical trials in medicine. This would involve:
Phase one: Releasing tiny amounts of SOโ into the stratosphere, carefully measuring its evolution using instruments such as aircraft, ground-based and satellite.
Phase two: Scaling up the experiment to 10 or 100 times larger, studying how aerosols mix and distribute, and observing their impact on the environment.
Phase three: Small, deliberate cooling over several years under constant observation and strict oversight - if deemed safe, this could be a key step towards deployment.
To make such a future decision possible, researchers emphasize building tools, rules, and governance mechanisms now, not later.