China's aggressive pursuit of Taiwan has reached a boiling point, with the island's president warning that the annexation threat was "intensifying." Beijing's relentless siege on Taiwan has evolved beyond crude military pressure to include economic and diplomatic isolation, as well as spying, cyber-sabotage, and mass surveillance.
At the heart of China's strategy is its so-called "anaconda strategy," designed to constrict Taiwan through a combination of coercion, demoralisation, and eventual capitulation. According to analyst Hal Brands, Chinese leader Xi Jinping would ultimately use military force if coercion failed, aiming to create a perception that Chinese power is overwhelming.
Taiwan's president, Lai Ching-te, has sounded the alarm about China's intentions, warning that browbeaten Taiwanese might simply give up in the face of relentless pressure. However, Taiwan and Japan are not alone in their concerns; even some within the US administration seem uncertain about the commitment to defend Taiwan.
The situation has been exacerbated by Donald Trump's vacillation on the issue. Flipping from a trade war to gushing gratitude for an invitation to visit Beijing, Trump has left Taipei and Tokyo worried that he is chronically unreliable when it comes to defending democratic values. The cluelessness in this dynamic is all Trump's, with Xi Jinping running rings around him.
As tensions escalate, Taiwan finds itself caught between the pressure from China and the uncertainty of US support. History has proven that compromising with aggression only brings war and enslavement, warned Lai Ching-te. Yet Trump doesn't seem to grasp the stakes, ignoring Beijing's unchecked human rights abuses, anti-western cyberwarfare, armed confrontations in the Philippines, and South China Sea expansionism.
The situation is reminiscent of Czechoslovakia in 1938, where compromising with aggression led to devastating consequences. It remains to be seen whether Trump will learn from history or continue down a path that will put Taiwan at risk. One thing is certain: China's actions are a threat not just to Taiwan but also to the global order and democratic values.
At the heart of China's strategy is its so-called "anaconda strategy," designed to constrict Taiwan through a combination of coercion, demoralisation, and eventual capitulation. According to analyst Hal Brands, Chinese leader Xi Jinping would ultimately use military force if coercion failed, aiming to create a perception that Chinese power is overwhelming.
Taiwan's president, Lai Ching-te, has sounded the alarm about China's intentions, warning that browbeaten Taiwanese might simply give up in the face of relentless pressure. However, Taiwan and Japan are not alone in their concerns; even some within the US administration seem uncertain about the commitment to defend Taiwan.
The situation has been exacerbated by Donald Trump's vacillation on the issue. Flipping from a trade war to gushing gratitude for an invitation to visit Beijing, Trump has left Taipei and Tokyo worried that he is chronically unreliable when it comes to defending democratic values. The cluelessness in this dynamic is all Trump's, with Xi Jinping running rings around him.
As tensions escalate, Taiwan finds itself caught between the pressure from China and the uncertainty of US support. History has proven that compromising with aggression only brings war and enslavement, warned Lai Ching-te. Yet Trump doesn't seem to grasp the stakes, ignoring Beijing's unchecked human rights abuses, anti-western cyberwarfare, armed confrontations in the Philippines, and South China Sea expansionism.
The situation is reminiscent of Czechoslovakia in 1938, where compromising with aggression led to devastating consequences. It remains to be seen whether Trump will learn from history or continue down a path that will put Taiwan at risk. One thing is certain: China's actions are a threat not just to Taiwan but also to the global order and democratic values.