US-Russia Treaty on Nuclear Arms Falls into Chaos as Global Tensions Soar
The expiration of the New START treaty has sent shockwaves around the world, with concerns growing over a new nuclear arms race between the US and Russia. The treaty, which was signed in 2010 under President Barack Obama, was designed to reduce the number of nuclear warheads and promote transparency between the two countries.
Now that it's no longer in place, experts warn that global tensions are escalating to Cold War levels, with both nations vying for dominance on the world stage. The lack of predictability and communication is being cited as a major concern, with Russia accusing the US of adopting an "erroneous and regrettable" approach.
"We're reverting to an early Cold War mentality," said Dmitri Sokov, a senior fellow at the Vienna Center for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation. "The episode that brought us this far - the Cuban Missile Crisis - was a wake-up call for everyone to get scared." However, as the years went by, global interest in arms control waned, and the fear of a nuclear apocalypse began to fade.
The loss of New START is particularly significant, as it provided a tool for verifying each other's intentions and promoting dialogue. Without it, both sides are now relying on satellite imagery and human intelligence to gather information about each other's nuclear arsenals. But this approach is not foolproof, especially in today's low-trust environment.
"It would pointlessly wipe out decades of diplomacy," said President Barack Obama. "And could spark another arms race that makes the world less safe." The Trump administration has taken a different approach, with President Donald Trump saying he wants to pursue a policy of "denuclearization" with both Russia and China.
However, Beijing has rejected this approach, citing its own right to develop nuclear deterrence in response to perceived threats. With China's nuclear build-up underway, the lack of predictability is becoming increasingly worrying. According to Sokov, we simply don't know where it's going to stop.
"We're on track for over 1,000 warheads by 2030," said Albertson, a leading expert on nuclear proliferation. "And without New START, we can only speculate about the true extent of Beijing's ambitions." A new agreement could happen without China, but it would need to provide flexibility for both the US and Russia to respond effectively.
As the world holds its breath, one thing is certain: the expiration of New START has set off a chain reaction that will have far-reaching consequences. The question now is whether anyone can prevent a new nuclear arms race from escalating into chaos.
The expiration of the New START treaty has sent shockwaves around the world, with concerns growing over a new nuclear arms race between the US and Russia. The treaty, which was signed in 2010 under President Barack Obama, was designed to reduce the number of nuclear warheads and promote transparency between the two countries.
Now that it's no longer in place, experts warn that global tensions are escalating to Cold War levels, with both nations vying for dominance on the world stage. The lack of predictability and communication is being cited as a major concern, with Russia accusing the US of adopting an "erroneous and regrettable" approach.
"We're reverting to an early Cold War mentality," said Dmitri Sokov, a senior fellow at the Vienna Center for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation. "The episode that brought us this far - the Cuban Missile Crisis - was a wake-up call for everyone to get scared." However, as the years went by, global interest in arms control waned, and the fear of a nuclear apocalypse began to fade.
The loss of New START is particularly significant, as it provided a tool for verifying each other's intentions and promoting dialogue. Without it, both sides are now relying on satellite imagery and human intelligence to gather information about each other's nuclear arsenals. But this approach is not foolproof, especially in today's low-trust environment.
"It would pointlessly wipe out decades of diplomacy," said President Barack Obama. "And could spark another arms race that makes the world less safe." The Trump administration has taken a different approach, with President Donald Trump saying he wants to pursue a policy of "denuclearization" with both Russia and China.
However, Beijing has rejected this approach, citing its own right to develop nuclear deterrence in response to perceived threats. With China's nuclear build-up underway, the lack of predictability is becoming increasingly worrying. According to Sokov, we simply don't know where it's going to stop.
"We're on track for over 1,000 warheads by 2030," said Albertson, a leading expert on nuclear proliferation. "And without New START, we can only speculate about the true extent of Beijing's ambitions." A new agreement could happen without China, but it would need to provide flexibility for both the US and Russia to respond effectively.
As the world holds its breath, one thing is certain: the expiration of New START has set off a chain reaction that will have far-reaching consequences. The question now is whether anyone can prevent a new nuclear arms race from escalating into chaos.