New York's Fiscal Fiasco: How Mayor Mamdani's Ignorance Could Devastate the City
A $12 billion budget shortfall has been inherited by newly elected Mayor Zohran Mamdani, a figure that's already making him think of raising taxes on city residents earning over $1 million. However, this isn't the first time he's pushed for such measures without fully understanding their impact.
Mamdani recently proposed increasing taxes on high-income earners to ensure they pay a "fair share" of the city's enormous budget. During an anecdote about his proposal, Mamdani claimed that a $1 million earner might be surprised by a tax hike as low as $20,000. But this assumption reflects Mamdani's own lack of understanding of what he's proposing.
The issue isn't just the magnitude of the proposed increase; it's also the broader economic and fiscal context. New York state has been raising taxes on million-dollar incomes for years, with rates increasing from 8.82% to 9.65% between 2021 and 2017. The city's tax rate is already steep, particularly compared to other major US cities.
The problem worsens when combining federal, state, and local tax rates. For New York City residents, the top combined rate has exceeded 50%, a level not seen since the early 1980s. Capital gains taxes are equally concerning, with the combined federal-state-city rate approaching 39% – one of the highest in the world.
These rates already disproportionately affect New York's share of US taxpayers earning $1 million or more, which has declined significantly over the past decade. As a result, many high-income earners have moved to states like Florida.
Mamdani's plan would lead to tax hikes running into six figures for mega-earners. However, these individuals generate a large portion of city income taxes, making it essential that any further increases are carefully considered.
Governor Kathy Hochul has taken steps to mitigate potential losses among high-income earners, expressing concerns about losing more people to other states like Florida. Yet, some progressives portray her as a "moderate" party-pooper for resisting further tax hikes. However, she needs to prioritize maintaining the city's tax base if she wants to avoid exacerbating the state's fiscal problems.
Mamdani will need to provide specifics on how he'll address the city's budget shortfall in his upcoming February budget. If he abdicates responsibility and turns to Albany for a bailout, it would be a repetitive story in New York politics that rarely ends well.
A $12 billion budget shortfall has been inherited by newly elected Mayor Zohran Mamdani, a figure that's already making him think of raising taxes on city residents earning over $1 million. However, this isn't the first time he's pushed for such measures without fully understanding their impact.
Mamdani recently proposed increasing taxes on high-income earners to ensure they pay a "fair share" of the city's enormous budget. During an anecdote about his proposal, Mamdani claimed that a $1 million earner might be surprised by a tax hike as low as $20,000. But this assumption reflects Mamdani's own lack of understanding of what he's proposing.
The issue isn't just the magnitude of the proposed increase; it's also the broader economic and fiscal context. New York state has been raising taxes on million-dollar incomes for years, with rates increasing from 8.82% to 9.65% between 2021 and 2017. The city's tax rate is already steep, particularly compared to other major US cities.
The problem worsens when combining federal, state, and local tax rates. For New York City residents, the top combined rate has exceeded 50%, a level not seen since the early 1980s. Capital gains taxes are equally concerning, with the combined federal-state-city rate approaching 39% – one of the highest in the world.
These rates already disproportionately affect New York's share of US taxpayers earning $1 million or more, which has declined significantly over the past decade. As a result, many high-income earners have moved to states like Florida.
Mamdani's plan would lead to tax hikes running into six figures for mega-earners. However, these individuals generate a large portion of city income taxes, making it essential that any further increases are carefully considered.
Governor Kathy Hochul has taken steps to mitigate potential losses among high-income earners, expressing concerns about losing more people to other states like Florida. Yet, some progressives portray her as a "moderate" party-pooper for resisting further tax hikes. However, she needs to prioritize maintaining the city's tax base if she wants to avoid exacerbating the state's fiscal problems.
Mamdani will need to provide specifics on how he'll address the city's budget shortfall in his upcoming February budget. If he abdicates responsibility and turns to Albany for a bailout, it would be a repetitive story in New York politics that rarely ends well.