Iran is betting that Trump doesn't have a plan for regime change.
In recent months, tensions between Washington and Tehran have escalated, with the US imposing new sanctions on Iranian goods. Despite these economic pressures, Iran's supreme leader appears confident that Donald Trump won't follow through on his threat to attack the country.
Iran's hardline stance is puzzling given its own vulnerabilities since last June's war with Israel. The devastating Israeli strikes exposed significant weaknesses in Iran's air defenses and intelligence networks, killing over 30 military commanders and damaging key nuclear sites. In response, the US imposed harsh sanctions, including a 25% tariff on goods from countries trading with Iran.
Yet, despite these crippling economic pressures, Iranian diplomats seem to be taking a tough line in negotiations with the US, insisting that talks will not collapse and that the government can survive any further escalation. One reason for this confidence is that Iran genuinely believes Trump doesn't have a strategy for regime change inside the country.
According to some analysts, including Senator Marco Rubio, the US has little idea how Iranian society might react if the US were to bomb key targets or disrupt the country's nuclear program. While many dissidents in Iran advocate for foreign intervention to bring down the government, others reject such plans, warning that external interference would undermine domestic democratic agency and deepen social divisions.
The Iranian negotiating team is seen as highly experienced and well-prepared, always pushing for maximum concessions from the US side. "One more thing" seems to be their catchphrase, according to Wendy Sherman, a veteran US nuclear negotiator. However, with Trump seeming increasingly disinterested in furthering radical change inside Iran, it remains to be seen how long Iran's gamble will pay off.
As tensions between Washington and Tehran continue to simmer, the international community is holding its breath to see what happens next. Will Iranian diplomats manage to secure concessions from the US without sparking a new crisis? Or will Trump's administration finally follow through on its threats, plunging the region into chaos? Only time will tell.
In recent months, tensions between Washington and Tehran have escalated, with the US imposing new sanctions on Iranian goods. Despite these economic pressures, Iran's supreme leader appears confident that Donald Trump won't follow through on his threat to attack the country.
Iran's hardline stance is puzzling given its own vulnerabilities since last June's war with Israel. The devastating Israeli strikes exposed significant weaknesses in Iran's air defenses and intelligence networks, killing over 30 military commanders and damaging key nuclear sites. In response, the US imposed harsh sanctions, including a 25% tariff on goods from countries trading with Iran.
Yet, despite these crippling economic pressures, Iranian diplomats seem to be taking a tough line in negotiations with the US, insisting that talks will not collapse and that the government can survive any further escalation. One reason for this confidence is that Iran genuinely believes Trump doesn't have a strategy for regime change inside the country.
According to some analysts, including Senator Marco Rubio, the US has little idea how Iranian society might react if the US were to bomb key targets or disrupt the country's nuclear program. While many dissidents in Iran advocate for foreign intervention to bring down the government, others reject such plans, warning that external interference would undermine domestic democratic agency and deepen social divisions.
The Iranian negotiating team is seen as highly experienced and well-prepared, always pushing for maximum concessions from the US side. "One more thing" seems to be their catchphrase, according to Wendy Sherman, a veteran US nuclear negotiator. However, with Trump seeming increasingly disinterested in furthering radical change inside Iran, it remains to be seen how long Iran's gamble will pay off.
As tensions between Washington and Tehran continue to simmer, the international community is holding its breath to see what happens next. Will Iranian diplomats manage to secure concessions from the US without sparking a new crisis? Or will Trump's administration finally follow through on its threats, plunging the region into chaos? Only time will tell.