Flu season is heating up, and experts warn that this year's outbreak could be particularly intense. The World Health Organization's Global Respiratory Threats Unit has identified seven mutations in the influenza A (H3N2) strain since June, which are causing it to mutate rapidly and spread quickly.
The most concerning mutation is a significant antigenic drift, where the genes of the virus change, making previous immunity, including immunity induced by the flu vaccine, less effective. This means that even if people have had a flu shot in recent years, they may not be fully protected against this year's strain.
"It's a real concern," says Dr. Rajendram Rajnarayanan, an expert at New York Institute of Technology. "The mutations are reshaping the areas that antibodies recognize, making previous immunity less effective."
As a result, flu cases are already increasing in countries such as the UK, Japan, and Canada, with hospitalizations among high-risk groups on the rise. The UK Health Security Agency's data shows that flu-associated hospitalizations increased from September to October, affecting people over 75.
While some studies suggest that this year's flu vaccine still offers some protection, experts warn that it may not be enough to keep up with the rapidly changing strain.
"We have a narrow window to act – boost stockpiles, issue robust guidance, deploy resources quickly, and reinforce surveillance," Dr. Rajnarayanan said.
However, there are concerns about public trust in the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), particularly under the leadership of Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has expressed anti-vaccine views. The shutdown during the Trump administration also led to a lack of surveillance data being updated.
Despite these challenges, experts agree that vaccination remains the best way to protect against the flu this season. "The influenza vaccine remains the best way to protect oneself from the virus, especially against severe disease," says Dr. Amesh Adalja, an infectious disease expert.
To stay safe, people are advised to get vaccinated, wear masks, stay home when sick, and seek early testing and antivirals if symptoms arise. By taking these simple measures, individuals can significantly reduce transmission and protect those most likely to become seriously ill.
The most concerning mutation is a significant antigenic drift, where the genes of the virus change, making previous immunity, including immunity induced by the flu vaccine, less effective. This means that even if people have had a flu shot in recent years, they may not be fully protected against this year's strain.
"It's a real concern," says Dr. Rajendram Rajnarayanan, an expert at New York Institute of Technology. "The mutations are reshaping the areas that antibodies recognize, making previous immunity less effective."
As a result, flu cases are already increasing in countries such as the UK, Japan, and Canada, with hospitalizations among high-risk groups on the rise. The UK Health Security Agency's data shows that flu-associated hospitalizations increased from September to October, affecting people over 75.
While some studies suggest that this year's flu vaccine still offers some protection, experts warn that it may not be enough to keep up with the rapidly changing strain.
"We have a narrow window to act – boost stockpiles, issue robust guidance, deploy resources quickly, and reinforce surveillance," Dr. Rajnarayanan said.
However, there are concerns about public trust in the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), particularly under the leadership of Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has expressed anti-vaccine views. The shutdown during the Trump administration also led to a lack of surveillance data being updated.
Despite these challenges, experts agree that vaccination remains the best way to protect against the flu this season. "The influenza vaccine remains the best way to protect oneself from the virus, especially against severe disease," says Dr. Amesh Adalja, an infectious disease expert.
To stay safe, people are advised to get vaccinated, wear masks, stay home when sick, and seek early testing and antivirals if symptoms arise. By taking these simple measures, individuals can significantly reduce transmission and protect those most likely to become seriously ill.