Rubio Seizes Chance to Remake Latin America in Venezuela Gambit

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has signaled a shift in Washington's approach to Venezuela, suggesting that the US will use its leverage over oil to force change in the country. With the removal of President Nicolas Maduro and his flight to New York for trial, Rubio sees an opportunity to reshape Latin America in the US's favor.

Rubio has long been vocal about his skepticism towards negotiating with Maduro, whom he considers an illegitimate president. Instead, he demands that Venezuela sever ties with Iran, Hezbollah, and Cuba, stop drug trafficking, and ensure its oil industry doesn't benefit US adversaries. The US will seize any sanctioned oil shipments, giving the country a significant amount of leverage to press for change.

Rubio's approach is rooted in his Cuban exile upbringing and anti-communist fervor, which has driven his policies on Latin America. He has previously pressed governments to confront drug cartels, curb China's influence, and stop undocumented migration. Now, he sees an opportunity to use the oil "quarantine" to bring about change in Venezuela.

The US blockade on sanctioned oil shipments remains in place until changes are made that benefit both the US national interest and the Venezuelan people. Trump has suggested that US oil companies will spend billions of dollars to rebuild Venezuela's oil industry, with Rubio stating that a global shortage of heavy crude could spur this transition.

However, there is still no clear timeline for when Venezuela might hold elections as part of a transition to democracy. Rubio sidestepped this question, saying the US will assess progress based on actions taken rather than public statements made.

Rubio's strategy has been building towards this moment since his early days as a congressman, where he pressed Latin American governments to confront drug cartels and curb China's influence. Now, with Trump's backing, Rubio appears set to become the top Latin America policymaker, a decade after fighting Trump for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.

The US has already interdicted at least three large oil tankers in the Atlantic and Caribbean waters around Venezuela and surrounding countries in December. With its naval deployment and economic pressure, the US aims to bring about change in Venezuela that benefits both the country and the US.
 
🤔 diagram of a globe with a big X marked on it (representing the US's influence)

so i think Rubio's approach is super sketchy 🤷‍♂️ we're talking about forcing change in venezuela using its oil, which is basically a hostage situation 💸. what's next? seizing assets from cuba and iran too? 🚫

and let's be real, maduro being "illegitimate" 🤔 is just code for "he won an election and now he's inconvenient". Rubio's been saying that venezuela needs to sever ties with certain countries, but what about the US supporting countries like china? 🤝 hypocrisy at its finest

i'm also low-key concerned about the timeline for elections in venezuela 🕰️. if the us is going to pressure venezuela into a transition, shouldn't they be respecting their democratic process too? 🤔

anyway, it's all about the oil 💧 and who gets to decide what happens next 👀
 
I'm low-key worried about this whole thing 🤔. Like, we're talking about a country with one of the largest oil reserves in the world and the US is basically holding its breath waiting for changes. It's like they're setting up a ticking time bomb. What if this 'democracy' Rubio's all about ends up being just another US-backed regime? I mean, we've seen that play out before in Latin America 🌴.

And what about the Iranian and Hezbollah stuff? Is that just an excuse for the US to get its hands dirty in Venezuela? I'm not saying Maduro is the hero of this story or anything but let's at least have a nuanced conversation about it 💡.
 
Imagine a diagram with 3 boxes:

Left box: Venezuela
Right box: US
Middle box: Oil

The oil is connected to both boxes by arrows. The US has control over this "oil flow". If Maduro doesn't make changes, the US can cut off the oil supply (blockade). This will hurt Venezuela's economy and people. But if Maduro makes changes that benefit both countries, like cutting ties with Iran and stopping drug trafficking, then the US might lift the blockade.

Rubio thinks this is a good way to force change in Venezuela. He wants to use his "leverage" over oil to make the country behave. But what about the Venezuelan people? They deserve democracy and freedom too! 🤔💡
 
I don't think this is a good move by Rubio 🤔... he's just gonna make things worse for Venezuela... they need stability now more than ever, not some kinda oil "quarantine" that's gonna hurt 'em even more 💸. What about the people who are already struggling to survive? And what's with all these sanctions and blockades? That's just a bunch of economic stress on everyone 🤦‍♂️. Can't we just talk to them, you know, like civilized countries do? 😒
 
🚨 I'm not sure if Rubio's approach is gonna work out 🤔... he's been talking trash about Maduro for years now and now he thinks oil is his magic solution 💸? Like, what about all those Venezuelan people who are already struggling to survive? I get that the US wants to push back against Iran and Hezbollah, but do they really think a blockade is gonna bring about democracy in Venezuela? 🤷‍♂️ It's all so... complicated 😐. Trump backing him up is interesting tho... maybe that means Rubio will actually listen to some of those experts who say this approach won't work 🔮💡
 
Back
Top