New Jersey's coastline is bracing itself for an impending deluge as a new study warns of accelerating sea-level rise, threatening to inundate homes, infrastructure, and ecosystems. The report, compiled by the New Jersey Climate Change Resource Center at Rutgers University, paints a dire picture of a future where coastal flooding becomes increasingly common.
According to the research, if global carbon emissions continue unabated, the state can expect between 2.2 and 3.8 feet of sea-level rise by 2100. However, if ice-sheet melt accelerates – an increasingly plausible scenario given the melting of polar ice caps – the seas could rise as much as 4.5 feet, rendering many areas unlivable.
The study's findings are stark, with researchers warning that New Jersey is on the cusp of a "flood emergency." The state's unique geography, featuring flat barrier islands and densely populated coastlines, makes it particularly vulnerable to sea-level rise. This vulnerability was tragically highlighted by Hurricane Sandy in 2012, which brought widespread destruction and flooding.
The report's authors emphasize that while global emissions continue to rise at an alarming rate, policymakers are still grappling with the implications of their decisions. The study eschews policy prescriptions, instead urging lawmakers to review projections every five years. However, this cautionary message rings hollow given the accelerating pace of climate change.
As sea levels continue to creep upward, coastal communities face increasing uncertainty and risk. Homeowners can expect higher flood days, with Atlantic City already experiencing an average of 12 flood days per year. By 2050, the city is projected to see between 29 and 148 flood days annually, while by the end of the century, it's "extremely likely" that coastal flood days will exceed 131 per year.
The report also warns of "compound flooding," where higher seas combine with storm surge, heavy rains, and swollen rivers to create even more destructive flooding events. As sea levels rise, erosion will worsen, threatening efforts to combat it, while wetlands – critical barriers against rising seas – may be unable to adapt in time.
Ultimately, the study serves as a stark reminder that New Jersey's coastline is on the precipice of disaster, and that drastic action is needed to mitigate the worst impacts of climate change.
According to the research, if global carbon emissions continue unabated, the state can expect between 2.2 and 3.8 feet of sea-level rise by 2100. However, if ice-sheet melt accelerates – an increasingly plausible scenario given the melting of polar ice caps – the seas could rise as much as 4.5 feet, rendering many areas unlivable.
The study's findings are stark, with researchers warning that New Jersey is on the cusp of a "flood emergency." The state's unique geography, featuring flat barrier islands and densely populated coastlines, makes it particularly vulnerable to sea-level rise. This vulnerability was tragically highlighted by Hurricane Sandy in 2012, which brought widespread destruction and flooding.
The report's authors emphasize that while global emissions continue to rise at an alarming rate, policymakers are still grappling with the implications of their decisions. The study eschews policy prescriptions, instead urging lawmakers to review projections every five years. However, this cautionary message rings hollow given the accelerating pace of climate change.
As sea levels continue to creep upward, coastal communities face increasing uncertainty and risk. Homeowners can expect higher flood days, with Atlantic City already experiencing an average of 12 flood days per year. By 2050, the city is projected to see between 29 and 148 flood days annually, while by the end of the century, it's "extremely likely" that coastal flood days will exceed 131 per year.
The report also warns of "compound flooding," where higher seas combine with storm surge, heavy rains, and swollen rivers to create even more destructive flooding events. As sea levels rise, erosion will worsen, threatening efforts to combat it, while wetlands – critical barriers against rising seas – may be unable to adapt in time.
Ultimately, the study serves as a stark reminder that New Jersey's coastline is on the precipice of disaster, and that drastic action is needed to mitigate the worst impacts of climate change.