US President Donald Trump is being taken for another ride on Vladimir Putin's "carousel" of diplomatic tricks. The Russia expert Mark Galeotti pointed out that as long as hostilities continue, Moscow will continue to wield leverage over Ukraine - a lever it would gladly use if the current ceasefire holds but talks begin.
Putin has no interest in negotiating with Ukraine on equal terms; he wants the country to surrender its sovereignty and become part of Moscow's sphere of influence. He doesn't care how that happens - through military force or by imposing a deal on Ukraine that Trump himself could broker.
The US-Russian peace plan being discussed, which demands an end to fighting in exchange for talks over territory, is laughable given Putin's stance on this issue. The Kremlin has consistently resisted this approach and instead seeks to maintain its leverage over Ukraine.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy faces a crisis after his chief of staff Andriy Yermak was placed under investigation by anti-corruption authorities - an unhelpful development at a critical juncture. It's even less likely that Putin will make concessions now than he did previously.
Trump is once again being led down the garden path, with his own diplomatic vanity and desire to do business with Russia and Zelenskyy playing into Putin's hands. After four years of resistance by Ukraine, it must not be bullied into a cynical carve-up.
However, Europe still has a role to play in this situation. As long as Russia continues to advance in eastern Ukraine, Europe must demonstrate its commitment to supporting Kyiv. Sending financial and military aid to Ukraine is crucial - whether through loans from the EU budget or member states themselves.
It's also essential for European leaders to signal their resolute support for a just peace in Ukraine, sending a clear message that they will not let Putin get away with bullying a small country. As long as Trump remains on this merry-go-round of diplomacy, Ukraine needs urgent backing - not from the Kremlin but from its allies.
Putin has no interest in negotiating with Ukraine on equal terms; he wants the country to surrender its sovereignty and become part of Moscow's sphere of influence. He doesn't care how that happens - through military force or by imposing a deal on Ukraine that Trump himself could broker.
The US-Russian peace plan being discussed, which demands an end to fighting in exchange for talks over territory, is laughable given Putin's stance on this issue. The Kremlin has consistently resisted this approach and instead seeks to maintain its leverage over Ukraine.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy faces a crisis after his chief of staff Andriy Yermak was placed under investigation by anti-corruption authorities - an unhelpful development at a critical juncture. It's even less likely that Putin will make concessions now than he did previously.
Trump is once again being led down the garden path, with his own diplomatic vanity and desire to do business with Russia and Zelenskyy playing into Putin's hands. After four years of resistance by Ukraine, it must not be bullied into a cynical carve-up.
However, Europe still has a role to play in this situation. As long as Russia continues to advance in eastern Ukraine, Europe must demonstrate its commitment to supporting Kyiv. Sending financial and military aid to Ukraine is crucial - whether through loans from the EU budget or member states themselves.
It's also essential for European leaders to signal their resolute support for a just peace in Ukraine, sending a clear message that they will not let Putin get away with bullying a small country. As long as Trump remains on this merry-go-round of diplomacy, Ukraine needs urgent backing - not from the Kremlin but from its allies.